MLB Sept 16 - Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox

Much like the Phillies have done in the NL East, the Twins are lighting up the Jets and running way with the AL Central. The Twins lead the White Sox by seven games with 20 games left. They have played so well of late that they are just 1 1/2 games behind the Yankees for best record in baseball. Now, that is really flying under the radar. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Twins will win this game. Carl Pavano will take the ball and he has been quite good all season long. he sports a 3.47 ERA and a 1.137 WHIP in 29 starts; 3.13 ERA and a 1.052 WHIP in 16 road starts; 2.74 ERA and 0.957 WHIP over his last three games. CWS starter Buehrle has not won a decision since August 25 a stretch of four starts. In those three starts he allowed 25 hits spanning just 20 innings of work. Twins bullpen has been fantastic posting a 3.30 ERA and a 1.267 WHIP spanning 392 1/3 innings of work. They have posted a 2.97 ERA and a 1.168 WHIP in 200 1/2 innings on the road; 2.37 ERA and a 1.105 WHIP over the past seven games. Twins are a solid 14-3 (+10.5 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 6 or less times per game in the second half of this season.