MLB Sept 17 - Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals

Cleveland starter Carlos Carrasco has allowed 5 runs total in his 3 starts this year. The Indians are 34-16-2 UNDER their last 52 games vs. righty starters. Cleveland is 41-18-3 UNDER off a win. The Tribe are 6-0 UNDER their 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. Kansas City starter Kyle Davies has allowed just 5 runs total in his last 3 starts. The Royals are 12-3-1 UNDER with Davies as a home underdog and they are 10-1-2 UNDER in Davies last 13 starts when their opponent allowed 2 runs or less in their last game. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Carrasco vs. Davies)

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MLB Sept 17 - Chicago Cubs vs. Florida Marlins

Florida has been a strong team over the total in the second half of the season, with a decent offense and wilting pitching. And speaking of wilting pitching, the Cubs come to town with Ryan Dempster, who has a 6.14 ERA his last three starts. The team went 2-1 over the total in those starts, including losses of 18-5 and 14-7. Alex Sanabia of the Marlins is no ace, with a 4.67 ERA his last three starts and Florida is 5-2 over the total his last 5 starts. Look for an offensive show, Play the Marlins/Cubs Over the total.

MLB Sept 17 - Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners

If Felix Hernandez does not win the A.L. Cy Young Award, he can thank the Texas Rangers. Hernandez is 0-3 with a 6.38 ERA in four starts against the A.L. West’s leading team this season. He has given up 18 runs and 31 hits in 24 innings pitched against Texas. The righty is coming off a losing effort in Anaheim against the Angels where he gave up seven runs and six hits in 6.3 innings of work. Michael Young (21-66), Vlad Guerrero (16-56), David Murphy (11-42), Nelson Cruz (9-30), Elvis Andrus (10-28), Chris Davis (6-23), Julio Borbon (4-15), Matt Treanor (2-4), and Andres Blanco (1-3) all hit Hernandez well. Texas has won seven straight games while hitting .318 as a team over that span. Their potent offense is putting up 7.3 runs per game over their last seven games as well. They are 5-1 in Seattle this season and 14-10 over the past three seasons. The Mariners bullpen is 9-11 with a 4.00 ERA at home this season.

C.J. Wilson has been a pleasant surprise for the Rangers this season. He is 14-6 with a 3.30 ERA in 29 starts. The lefty is 4-4 with a 3.09 ERA on the road, and Wilson has yet to lose to Seattle this season going 1-0 with a 3.71 ERA in three starts. Casey Kotchman (0-8), Russell Branyan (0-6), Michael Saunders (1-5), Josh Wilson (1-4), Ryan Langerhans (0-3), and Matt Tuiasosopo (0-2) all struggle with Wilson. Seattle is 12-31 against left-handed starters while hitting just .234 as a team against them. The Mariners have lost seven straight games while scoring just 18 runs over that span. Texas also has the bullpen edge in this game as they are 11-6 with a 3.20 ERA on the road. Since Texas is in much better form, we’ll recommend a play on the Rangers over the Mariners tonight.

MLB Sept 16 - Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants

San Francisco starter Jonathan Sanchez is 18-11 in his 29 starts this year. The Giants are 35-16 their last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing record. The Giants are 6-0 with Sanchez vs. a team with a losing record. The Giants are 8-3 their last 11 games overall and they are 17-7 vs. a team with a losing record. Dodger starter Ted Lilly has been on the losing side in his last 3 starts. Lilly has allowed 12 runs in his last 17 innings of work. Los Angeles is 2-6 their last 8 games vs. the Giants. The Dodgers are 6-20 their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning record. PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO (Sanchez vs. Lilly)

MLB Sept 16 - Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants

The Dodgers have a reliable veteran starter in lefty Ted Lilly going up against a light hitting San Francisco attack, ranked 9th in the NL in runs and 11th in on base percentage. He's 3-1 against the Giants. Meanwhile, the Dodgers love facing starter Jonathan Sanchez, who is 1-5 with a 5.27 ERA against LA, making the visiting dog very live. Play the LA Dodgers.

MLB Sept 16 - Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox

Much like the Phillies have done in the NL East, the Twins are lighting up the Jets and running way with the AL Central. The Twins lead the White Sox by seven games with 20 games left. They have played so well of late that they are just 1 1/2 games behind the Yankees for best record in baseball. Now, that is really flying under the radar. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Twins will win this game. Carl Pavano will take the ball and he has been quite good all season long. he sports a 3.47 ERA and a 1.137 WHIP in 29 starts; 3.13 ERA and a 1.052 WHIP in 16 road starts; 2.74 ERA and 0.957 WHIP over his last three games. CWS starter Buehrle has not won a decision since August 25 a stretch of four starts. In those three starts he allowed 25 hits spanning just 20 innings of work. Twins bullpen has been fantastic posting a 3.30 ERA and a 1.267 WHIP spanning 392 1/3 innings of work. They have posted a 2.97 ERA and a 1.168 WHIP in 200 1/2 innings on the road; 2.37 ERA and a 1.105 WHIP over the past seven games. Twins are a solid 14-3 (+10.5 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 6 or less times per game in the second half of this season.

MLB Sept 14 - Philadelphia Phillies vs. Florida Marlins

Adalberto Mendez shut the Phillies down in his MLB debut last week, but I don't expect his second outing against the NL East leaders to go as smoothly. Now that the Phillies have seen him, I fully expect them to hit him. Philly has won 15 of its last 18 on the road against the Marlins, including 6 of 7 this year, and it should be in good hands with Cole Hamels, who enters in top form. The southpaw hasn't given up a run in his last 25 innings of work. The Phillies are a dominant 10-1 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record, and I expect them to build on this trend tonight. Take Philly.